US ADVANCED COMPUTING INFRASTRUCTURE, INC.
  • Home
    • About Us
    • Contact
    • Our Brochure
    • Positions
    • T-shirts
    • Nextsteps
  • Advisory Services
    • Stock Portfolio Services
    • US Composite: Up Run
    • US Composite: Down Run
    • Your Stocks: Up Run
    • Your Stocks: Down Run
    • Investment Planning
    • Membership
  • Project Services
  • Market Information
    • Retail Investor
    • Why Use ETFs
    • Negative BETA Stocks
    • Top Dividend Stocks
    • Stock Price Variance
    • Leptokurtic Stocks
    • Platykurtic Stocks
    • High & Low BETA Stocks
    • Skewness in Daily Returns
    • High & Low Volume Stocks
    • Top Stock Movers
    • Price & Volume Spikes
    • Stock Splits
    • Common Stock Beta Detail
    • More Details on Kurtotic Stocks
    • US Banking Observations
    • Liquidity Research
    • MEME Stocks
    • Corporate Finance 101
  • Managed Accounts
    • Managed Account BLOG
    • Managed Account Fees
    • Considerations
  • Quantum Computing
    • Quantum Computing Use Cases
    • Use Case Detail
    • Platforms
    • Platforms Detail
    • Quantum Computing Notes
    • Quantum Computing Stocks
    • PQC Post Quantum Cryptography
  • Insights of Today
  • Research
  • New BLOG 2023

Jan 3, 2023: Double Checking Cullen Frost Bankers AOCI (Q4 prospective view)

1/3/2023

0 Comments

 
We ran the numbers based on Dec 30, 2022 market close data for indices on US Treasuries and MBS securities (UMBS 5.0).  The analysis will be re-confirmed this week with a fresh set of eyes. It assumes that CFR did not buy any new investments in Q4 (we use Q3 investments to do our valuations).

Cullen Frost gained value on their investments, which means they likely will have positive AOCI. We guess their bets on buying long assets with short money will pay small, but positive dividends in Q4/2022. We assume that CFR did not buy swaps to protect themselves against rising interest rates in Q4, as those would likely expire out of the money, and cost the bank the premium.

The gains were especially large in the residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) they hold. 

This trend was quite negative and dramatic in Q2 and Q3 while interest rates were rising. However, rates fell into year-end and this will help the capital position for US regional banks, like Cullen Frost.

GLTA
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Jeffrey Cohen

    Investment advisor representative & father of six.

    Archives

    January 2023
    October 2022

    Categories

    All

    RSS Feed

Copyright 2023 US Advanced Computing Infrastructure, Inc.  
Chicago Quantum (SM) is a protected service mark, registration 113562, by the Secretary of State of Illinois.
US Advanced Computing Infrastructure CRD#: 316375
Business Mailing Address: 833 Central Avenue #1292, Highland Park, Illinois 60035-7292

Disclaimer: 
All investing, stock forecasts, and investment strategies include the risk of loss for some or even all of your capital.  Please do your due diligence and research before investing.  Statements made on our website or in social media are not investment advice.  They do not take into account your unique circumstances, risk tolerance or investing objectives.  Please consider our website and social media outlets as for informational purposes only.

The stocks mentioned may not be suitable for all investors.  As with any investment there is risk.  Past performance is not an indication of future results.  Please do your own due diligence on any stock portfolios highlighted.  Finally, we make no guarantees for your financial results.  You bear all the risk, and gain all the rewards of your investments.

Unauthorized reproduction or redistribution of this information or the analysis provided in any form is strictly prohibited.


  • Home
    • About Us
    • Contact
    • Our Brochure
    • Positions
    • T-shirts
    • Nextsteps
  • Advisory Services
    • Stock Portfolio Services
    • US Composite: Up Run
    • US Composite: Down Run
    • Your Stocks: Up Run
    • Your Stocks: Down Run
    • Investment Planning
    • Membership
  • Project Services
  • Market Information
    • Retail Investor
    • Why Use ETFs
    • Negative BETA Stocks
    • Top Dividend Stocks
    • Stock Price Variance
    • Leptokurtic Stocks
    • Platykurtic Stocks
    • High & Low BETA Stocks
    • Skewness in Daily Returns
    • High & Low Volume Stocks
    • Top Stock Movers
    • Price & Volume Spikes
    • Stock Splits
    • Common Stock Beta Detail
    • More Details on Kurtotic Stocks
    • US Banking Observations
    • Liquidity Research
    • MEME Stocks
    • Corporate Finance 101
  • Managed Accounts
    • Managed Account BLOG
    • Managed Account Fees
    • Considerations
  • Quantum Computing
    • Quantum Computing Use Cases
    • Use Case Detail
    • Platforms
    • Platforms Detail
    • Quantum Computing Notes
    • Quantum Computing Stocks
    • PQC Post Quantum Cryptography
  • Insights of Today
  • Research
  • New BLOG 2023