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Participants in the South China Sea

Updated: June 13, 2025 and May 14, 2025
​
August 23, 2024
​We are documenting the names and titles of relevant, key participants in the actions and publicity around the South China Sea, and more broadly in the countries in the area. Not all of these countries have a claim to reefs, but they all are relevant to the space. Many Western countries, and Russia patrol the South China Sea and are signing defence agreements. We are also documenting relevant relationships between countries in the region.

We are still working on this list, so a few of the entries may be light on details. All entries are made via open source research. This list is updated periodically.
​

China (PRC)

China
President, Xi Jinping
  • ​Foreign Minister, Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee, and Chinese Foreign Minister (2025)
  • Chinese Defence Minister, Admiral Dong Jun Source
  • ​Political commissar of the Southern Theater Command, and Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Wang Wenquan
  • Head of Navy, Commanding General, Hu Zhongming
  • Head of the People's Liberation Army, General Liu Zhenli
  • Commander, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, General Wang Houbin
  • Political Commissar, PLA Rocket Force, General Xu Xisheng
  • Chinese State Councilor, Yang Jiechi
  • Chinese Ambassador to Philippines, Huang Xilian
  • Senior Colonel Tian Junli, Spokesman at the PLA Southern Theater Command (as of 03/23/2023 and 2025)
  • Chinese Defense Ministry Spokesman, Zhang Xiaogang (as of November 2023)
  • Chinese Foreign Ministry / Foreign Affairs Spokesman, Wang Wenbing
  • ​Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, Ms. Mao Ning (2024)
  • Chinese Defence Ministry Spokesman Senior Colonel Wu Qian​
  • Yang Tao, director-general of the Department of North American and Oceanian Affairs of the China's Foreign Ministry
  • Chinese State Councilor and Minister of Public Security Wang Xiaohong (War on Drugs)
  • Secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Committee of the Communist Party of China, Chen Jining
  • Head of Navy (former): Admiral Dong Jun (now Chinese Defense Minister)
  • Commander, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force (former): Wei Fenghe
  • Head of People's Liberation Army Rocket Corps (former): Li Yuchao.
  • Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Lin Jian
  • Chinese army Lieutenant General He Lei.
  • Foreign Minister & State Councilor (former): Qin Gang
  • Chinese Defence Minister and State Councilor, Central Military Commission member (former): Li Shangfu 
  • Ren Yukun, head of the discipline inspection and supervision team and a member of the leading party group at the state-owned Aviation Industry Corporation of China (AVIC).
  • Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun.
  • Wei Dongxu, a Beijing-based military expert; Cao Weidong, a military expert and former researcher at China's PLA Naval Military Studies Research Institute.
  • Wu Shicun, president of the National Institute for South China Sea Studies
  • Chen Xiangmiao, director of the World Navy Research Center at the National Institute for South China Sea Studies
  • Zhu Feng, a South China Sea specialist at Nanjing University
  • Song Zhongping, Military expert 
  • Wu Xinbo, a professor at China's Fudan University

  • Shi Yinhong, professor of international relations at Renmin University of China
  • Li Dexia, Associate Professor with the School of Journalism and Communication at Xiamen University, China.
  • Xu Liping, director of the Center for Southeast Asian Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
  • Hu Xin, Assistant Researcher, China South China Sea Research Institute
  • Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian
  • Chinese spokesperson Gan Yu
  • Senior Colonel Tian Junli, a spokesperson for the People's Liberation Army Southern Theater Command.
  • Xue Chen, a research fellow at the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies
  • Ma Bo, an associate professor at the School of International Studies at Nanjing University
  • Liu Dejun, Chinese Coast Guard (CCG) spokesperson (January 2025)
​​
​W.R.T. South Korea and the Yellow Sea:
Hong Liang, director-general of the Department of Boundary and Ocean Affairs at China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and head of the Chinese delegation
Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun ​

China believes that the Philippines' actions in the South China Sea are not independent, but part of a "screenplay written by external forces" to smear China. This is important, as it indicates mindset around bilateral agreements with neighbors vs. superpower and regional power (e.g., France) politics.
​
​China's Ministry of Natural Resources published a new 10-dash line in August 28, 2023 that publicizes their own territorial claims.

China's maritime militia fleet are known for their blue-hulled ships, and are actively operating in the South China Sea, including around the Second Thomas Shoal as recently as December 10, 2023. This fleet is separate from China's Navy and Coast Guard, and are known to be 'patriotic fisherman' by the Chinese Government. 

China supports a July 12, 2016 concept (described here) called Nan Hai Zhu Dao, Nanhai Zhudao, or the Four Sha/sands, to explain the logic of their sovereignty claims of the 10-dash line. Here are the four shas:
- Dongsha Qundao (Dongsha islands) which may also include Taiwan
- Xisha Qundao (Xisha or Paracel Islands)
- Zhongsha Qundao (Zhongsha Islands southeast of the Paracel Islands)
- Nansha Qundao (the Nansha or Spratly Islands).

I read here about China's small, aluminum, lightweight, agile and stealth-capable platforms to drive an asymmetric naval strategy. These are Type 22 fast attack missile boats with an exceptionally large anti-ship cruise missile payload (two quadruple launchers), mounted gatling guns, ECMs, jamming flares, and exceptionally high speed (cruises at 30 knots and bursts to 50 knots). It has shallow draft capabilities as it is super light-weight, drawing only 220 tons.

They have surface search radars, fire control systems (inter-operable across boats), and visual acquisition and fire control systems. These are a networked platform due to the small range and limited capabilities of each individual craft.

This is a littoral vessel that draws 220 tons with a forward-facing catamaran, water jet propulsion and was introduced in 2004.  It can target a larger vessel like a cargo ship up to a US Arleigh Burke-class destroyer. We believe the strategy is to send a highly maneuverable swarm of these against a high-value target and launch anti-ship missiles simultaneously while jamming anti-ship defenses. This reminds me of a Barbie doll.

This is a step between a traditional naval warship and swarms of unmanned sea combat vehicles (USCV) operated by Ukraine in the Black Sea.
​
Starting in 2024, China made more reconnaissance flights around the Philippine Sea and off the coast of Taiwan, whether manned or unmanned UAV and UCAVs. This requires intercepting Japanese airspace to move from the East China Sea and the Philippine Sea near Okinawa. Specifically, China has been flying Y-9 Maritime Patrol Aircraft between Miyako Island and Okinawa to enter the Philippine Sea, patrolling there, then returning. China is also flying between Japan's Yonaguni Island and Taiwan. This circumnavigation is likely testing the waters for an aerial and naval blockade of Taiwan.

In May and June 2025, China broke out of the first island chain and conducted a joint carrier strike force exercise near the island of Iwo Jima, ~750 nautical miles of Guam and well east of Japan's mainland, Taiwan and the Philippines northern islands.

China is very angry and upset (publicly) about how the USA is supporting the Philippines and how the USA is spreading a Cold War mentality, provoking trouble, instigating ideological confrontations, and sowing discord, and being an instigator in the South China Sea. 
Chinese PLAN Aircraft Carrier Plans

Since 2016, China has been investing in its shipbuilding capabilities. There is a dry dock ikn Hainan Island that is large enough to build a Type-003 Super Carrier, which may have an electromagnetic catapult similar to the U.S. Navy's Ford Class. The catapult is known by the U.S. Navy terminology as EMALS, or Electromagnetic Aircraft Launch System (we love our FLAs).

This matters because EMALs allow heavier aircraft to be launched, such as the Xi'an KJ-600 carrier-based early warning aircraft (similar to the E-2D Advanced Hawkeye). It also allows for new classes of fighters and Uncrewed Combat Air Vehicles (UCAVs).

Hainan and air bases due North are able to house aircraft carriers and long range combat aircraft, significantly strengthening China's ability to project power into the South China Sea.
​

Philippines

Philippines
  • ​President: Ferdinand Marcos Jr.
  • Foreign Minister, Enrique Manalo
  • Defense Secretary: Gilberto Teodoro
  • Juan Miguel Zubiri, President of the Philippine Senate
  • Head of the Philippine Military, General Romeo Brawner Jr.
  • Philippine Foreign Secretary, Enrique Manalo
  • Gen. Romeo Brawner Jr., Chief of Staff of the Philippines Armed Forces
  • Philippine Senator (lawmaker), JV Ejercito
  • Filipino National Security Adviser, Eduardo Año
  • Armed Forces of the Philippines Spokesman, Col. Xerxes Trinidad
  • Medel Aguilar, a Philippine military spokesperson
  • Teresita Daza, Philippine Foreign Affairs Spokesperson
  • Department of Foreign Affairs Spokesperson, Teresita Daza
  • Rodrigo Lutao, public information officer for the army’s Northern Luzon Command
  • Batanes Governor, Marilou Cayco
  • Military Spokesman, Col. Michael Logico
  • President (former): Gloria Arroyo
  • President (former): Benigno Aquino III
  • Jonathan Malaya, Assistant Director-General of the Philippine government’s National Security Council
  • ​Commodore Jay Tarriela of the Philippine coast guard, and spokesperson.

Military Alliance with the United States of America (USA)
Since 2024, the United States has moved active missile defense systems into northern Philippines (Batanes) to defend against air attack, and to attack ships. It is called the Navy Marine Expeditionary Ship Interdiction System (NMESIS).

“The introduction of NMESIS into the first island chain for sea denial, sea control is another step in our force design journey,” U.S. Marine Lt. Gen. Michael Cederholm told a small group of journalists, including from The Associated Press, who were invited to witness the transport of the missile system aboard a C-130 Air Force aircraft to Batanes. “We’re not here practicing a war plan,” said Cederholm. “We’re practicing for the defense of the Philippines.”

There have been more "shoulder to shoulder" military exercises (Balikatan) and a recent visit from the new US Secretary of Defense. In July 2024, the USA announced an infusion of $500 million to help the Philippines defend its shorelines.

The United States has agreed to sell twenty (20) F-16s, along with missiles, bombs, guns and ammunition as of April 2025 in a deal worth $5.58 billion, and conduct joint maritime exercises in the West Philippine / South China Seas.
There is also a push for joint manufacturing, cybersecurity initiatives, and the building of a defense network that is secure between the two militaries.

There is a standing Visiting Forces Agreement (a.k.a. Status of Forces Agreement). There is a new USA / Philippine agreement called General Security of Military Information Agreement (GS-MIA) that allows for highly confidential military intelligence and technology to be shared, and for the USA to sell 'big ticket items' from the US military arsenal.

In May 2025, the US has agreed to upgrade naval Detachment Oyster Bay, home to Philippine Navy patrol craft in the South China sea to develop repair infrastructure, including a crane, a few rooms, and to fix the boat launch (which is too steep). This will allow the Philippines to get their vessels 'back in the water, back in the fight' faster when attacked by the Chinese PLAN and disabled or damaged.
​ 

Military Alliance with France
In 2025, France has returned to the South China Sea to perform a months-long patrol and to visit Subic Bay on February 21, 2025, with their French Navy Charles de Gaulle nuclear aircraft carrier strike group. The French Carrier Strike Group (CSG) was part of mission CLEMENCEAU 25. 
France is also negotiating military agreements with the Philippines, including a Status of Visiting Forces / joint military coordination agreement with the Philippines to allow troops from each country to hold exercises in the other's territory.
  • Air France - KLM has resumed direct flights between France and the Philippines, connecting CDG and NAIA.
  • The French Embassy in Manila now has a Defense Mission and a resident Defense Attache' since June 17, 2024.


Military Alliance with Japan
Japan signed a Status of Visiting Forces agreement with the Philippines in July 2024 (called a Reciprocal Access Agreement), which allows troops to enter each other's countries for joint combat drills, training and exercises. Japan has been participating in joint exercises, training and naval patrols even though the agreement has not yet been ratified by Japan's legislature. This is a historic rapprochement after WWII, and took 80 years to heal those deep wounds. 
The two agreements currently being negotiated are: 1) a GS-MIA agreement to allow for sharing of intelligence and classified technologies, and 2) the Acquisition and Cross-Servicing Agreement or (ACSA) that allows the Philippines to provide provisions (necessities like food and fuel) to Japanese forces when they operate on Philippine lands. Japan is providing / selling patrol boats to the Philippines, including the BRP Magbauna, (damaged by China in the Sabina Shoal) and according to AP News is also providing radars and other defense equipment for the underfunded Philippine military. There exists a trilateral alliance between the Philippines, Japan and the USA.

Military Alliance with the Commonwealth Nations (UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand)

Australia has a Status of Visiting Forces agreement with the Philippines, and has been participating in joint military exercises and activities. Australia is also working to boost their advanced military shipbuilding capability via (AUKUS).

Canada and the UK have both been active in the SCS conducting Freedom of Navigation maritime military / naval patrols.


New Zealand signed a Status of Visiting Forces agreement on 30 April 2025 which is a legal framework that allows for military engagement, joint exercises, and military cooperation between the two countries, and on each other’s sovereign lands. “These partnerships have become very important in the face of all that is happening,” Philippine President Marcos said during the 30, April 2025 ceremony with New Zealand. Source: APNEWS

Military Alliance with Vietnam
​
The People's Republic of Vietnam has mutual support military agreements in place with the Philippines that were signed on January 30, 2024. They agree to cooperate on maritime security in the South China Sea. These deals were signed during a state visit to Hanoi, Vietnam by Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.

New military alliance with the European Union

The EU policy Chief Kaja Kallas met in Manilla with Minister Enrique Manalo to announce a new security deal (May 2025) to counter threats like foreign interference, cyberattacks and social media misinformation campaigns. This caused a 'loud' diplomatic response by China towards both the EU and the Philippines.


Arms purchases from Israel
Source: Oodaloop.com: The Philippines has purchased significant weaponry from Israel, from the Rafael's SPYDER air defense systems, Elbit Systems' ATMOS howitzers and UAVs, and nine (9) advanced warships from Israel Shipyards. Israeli arms manufacturers do not impose use restrictions on the Philippines. However, in 2025, the Philippines has put all defense purchases from Israel on hold until Israel declares a recognition of its sovereignty over the maritime area. Israel is maintaining a neutral stance between the Philippines and China. For these past several months all new signings are on hold while Israel maintains a neutral stance.

This is significant progress from where the Philippines was in 2023.
According to Al Jazeera, The Philippine island of Mavulis (northernmost island, part of Batanes), has been fortified with a shack, 15 soldiers, and basic equipment like rifles. There is no fresh water, nor desalination capabilities. This reminds me of the Vietnamese garrisons in the South China Sea which were overrun with 100% casualties or prisoners due to Chinese naval attacks.

A second Al Jazeera article discussed the situation.  The island is poor with few places to hide. The local population is forming a civilian militia and military reserve force to defend those northern islands. They meet at 4am and are undertaking jogging, calisthenics, first aid, and self defense training. The oldest militia member, Cyrus Malupa, is 60 years old, and feels pretty good...he is not the slowest militia member. His dad, Eleuterio Malupa, is 90 years old, and is ready to fight to defend the island. I hope it does not come down to that.

​

Vietnam
(The Socialist Republic of Vietnam)

Vietnam

Vietnamese President (acting): Vice-President Vo Thi Anh Xuan
  • Vietnamese President (former, resigned in March 2024): Vo Van Thuong
  • Vietnamese Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister, Pham Binh Minh
  • Vietnamese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, Pham Thu Hang
  • Le Dinh Tinh, director general of policy planning in Vietnam’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs
​
Tran Duc Anh Son, curator of the Paracel Islands Museum.

In 2021 (ICYMI) the Indian Navy (IN) and the Vietnam People's Navy (VPN) were running inter-operability drills in the South China Sea.

On January 20, 2024, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a Spokesperson's Statement (translated by the website into English):
Paraphrased: Vietnam has sovereignty over the Hoang Sa and the Truong Sa Islands. Vietnam's sovereignty over Hoang Sa has been demonstrated and established since the 17th century. Any act of of threatening, or using force, to resolve territorial disputes between states is not ok, nor does it change the truth. 

This is a public statement of Vietnam stating their claim to sovereignty over both the Spratly and Paracel Islands, made in January of 2024, on the 50th Anniversary of the China (PRC) / Vietnam (RVN) naval battle.

Picture
According to the Washington Post, August 9, 2024 article, Vietnam is building islands on six of the reefs that we discuss in our work. It looks like they are working with Maxar Technologies to acquire and analyze satellite imagery. They are also using Copernicus Sentinel 2 Imagery / ESA. Here are the islands:
  • Discovery Great Reef
  • Sand Cay
  • Namyit Reef
  • Tennent Reef
  • Barque Canada Reef
  • Pearson Reef

In reading the article, we see these islands are not complete, and all require continued investment. They are all 'works in process.' We updated our webpages on all of these islands in August 2024. Since we use Google Earth for satellite imagery, we do not see many of these new developments. 

We do reflect on the fact that Vietnam and China have a history in the South China Sea (Vietnam: East Sea) with an armed confrontation and battle which Vietnam lost with over 70 naval casualties, ships sunk, and islands lost.

A recent Washington Post article in 2024 dicussed reclamation efforts in Barque Canada Reef, Pearson Reef, Discovery Great Reef, Namyit Island, Sand Cay (not the one in Pag-ASA) and Tennant Reef.

In May 2025, we discovered significant investments made by Vietnam to continue island reclamation efforts since our last update, by analyzing satellite imagery by ESA Sentinel-2 L2A and comparing them to prior analysis we performed.

Indonesia
Recent 2025 agreements between Indonesia and China (PRC) to cooperate for "safety and security" in the South China Sea, and to stay silent on the Natuna Island Group (Indonesia occupied, administered and developed). Also, Indonesia and China have seen greater economic ties (e.g., the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed railway, and Cirata, the floating solar power project in West Java).

Indonesia has been building its own navy ships, including the KRI Bung Hatta #370 delivered on April 17, 2025 by the private shipyard PT Karimun Anugrah Sejati (KAS) which has delivered two Bung Karno-class vessels to the Indonesian Navy.
​
Exercise Super Garuda Shield, led by Indonesia, will be carried out from August 26, 2024 to September 6, 2024 and include the United States, Indonesia, Australia, Canada, France, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, United Kingdom, and New Zealand participating in the exercise while Brazil, Brunei, Fiji, Germany, India, Malaysia, Netherlands, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Saudi Arabia, Thailand, and Vanuatu will participate as observers. The exercises will take place in Situbondo in East Java, Karawang in West Java and Baturaja in South Sumatra. Source: USNI News

  • Indonesian President elect: Prabowo Subianto (elected in 2024)
  • Indonesian Vice President elect:  Gibran Rakabuming Raka, President Widodo's son.
  • Indonesian President Joko Widodo (Jokowi) completed his second term and retired.
  • Ristian Atriandi Supriyanto, lecturer on international relations at Universitas Indonesia, fellow at Forum Sinologi Indonesia. 

  • What people should know by way of context is that Indonesia has used Russia as a primary and strategic weapons supplier since 1958, with a surge of defense spending ($2.5 billion worth) from 1992 to 2018. Indonesia then 'shares the wealth' and helps its neighbor Cambodia.

Republic of China, Taiwan
  • President, Tsai Ing-wen
  • Defense Minister, Chiu Kuo-cheng
  • Colonel Hu Chung-hua of Taiwanese Defense Ministry’s’ Intelligence Department
  • Colonel Su Tong-wei of the Taiwanese Defense Ministry’s Operation of Planning Department ​​
Malaysia
  • Foreign Minister Mohamad Hasan

Malaysia and Singapore armed forces (assets and personnel) recently concluded a series of war-fighting drills with the armed forces (assets and personnel) of Australia and Britain, along with personnel from New Zealand Defense Force (NZDF) in an exercise called Bersama Shield performed by the Five Power defense Arrangements (FPDA) countries. The exercise simulated a fictitious enemy assaulting Malaysian islands and waters. 


​
Brunei Team:
  • TBD​

Japan

Japan
Japan's interests are mostly in the East China Sea, around the Senkaku islands (Japan) and Diaoyu Islands (PRC), which are administered by Japan. Recently (2025), China has routinely and repeatedly sent Chinese Coast Guard and PLAA/PLAN aircraft around Japanese islands and in the vicinity of Japanese vessels, at times prompting Japanese fighter jets being scrambled in response to those incursions.

Japan is now an active participant in joint 'allied' exercises in the South China Seas, including in 2022 when Japan's JMSDF, Australian Navy & Air Forces, the US Navy jointly exercised. Trilateral training in the South China Sea with joint and partner nations develops and exercises tactical interoperability and promotes synchronization. “Through more practical training, we enhance our tactical skills and cooperation between the JMSDF, the U.S., the Australian Navy and the Australian Air Forces,” said Cmdr. WAKUSHIMA Hidetaka, commanding officer of JS Yuudachi, “and we promote cooperative relationship of Japan-U.S.-Australia naval and air forces in order to realize a Free and Open Indo-Pacific.”

I don't typically think of Japanese fighter jets being scrambled in response to Chinese entry into Japanese territorial waters. I always thought of Japan as being neutral and pacifist since WWII. Things might be changing and I would caution China from testing the will of the Japanese people w.r.t. honor.

  • Prime Minister Fumio Kishida
  • Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi, Tokyo’s top spokesman.
  • Defense Minister Tomomi Inada (former), and a senior official of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party.
  • Japanese Defense Minister Minoru Kihara
  • Foreign Minister Yoko Kamikawa
  • Cmdr. Wakushima Hidetaka, commanding officer of JS Yuudachi, JMSDF.


​Japan's Ministry of Defense has prepared an excellent briefing (unclassified) on the South China Sea which everyone interested in the region should read. It shows the building, the maintenance, the capabilities, the history, the implications, and is well sourced with public, open source information. We used it in September 2024 to check our work.
​​
Australia

Australia is investing in advanced weapons systems. Australia is investing in a partnership with Kongsberg Defence Australia for the manufacture and servicing of Naval Strike Missiles (NSM) and Joint Strike Missiles (JSM) to be used by the Australian Defence Force (ADF) with excess capacity available for export. Source: USNI News We also remember reading something about learning how to build nuclear-powered submarines through an agreement between Australia, UK and the USA) (AUKUS). There are additional references to increased US spending on new warships that could be made in Australia, building this nation's shipbuilding scale and capabilities.

On Feb 11, 2025, a Chinese J-16 fighter jet (the same model of jets that shot down Indian aircraft in Kashmir), released flares within 30 meters of an Australian P-8 Poseidon surveillance jet over the Paracel Islands in the South China Sea. 


  • Chief of Navy, Vice Admiral Mark Hammond AO, RAN (Royal Australian Navy)
  • Australian Defense Minister Richard Marles (2025)​
  • Malcolm Davis is a senior analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute
  • Australian Defence Industry Minister Pat Conroy
  • Foreign Minister Penny Wong​

Japan and Australia have security ties since 2023 with the signing of the Australia-Japan Reciprocal Access Agreement (RAA), a treaty that provides a framework for each country's forces to operate in the other's, came into force in August 2023. Source: Global times September 3, 2024 by Xu Keyue.

Predator's Run 24 was a joint training and readiness exercise between the Australian Army, Philippines Army (composite force), the U.K. Commando force (Royal Marine commandos) and the U.S. Marine Rotational Force conducted in Northern Australia. This was a test to integrate joint coalition forces into the ADF's Combat Training Center 1st Division. It is a supporting effort to the Australian Army 1st Brigade order of battle, conducting warfighting interoperability, and life-fire field evolutions.

France and Australia have a military strategic partnership signed in February 2019 in Canberry by the French and Australian Ministers of the Armed Forces. They have been jointly training and patrolling in the South China Sea in April 2021.  They also jointly participated in La Pe'rouse, a multinational exercise where French ships of the Jeanne D'Arc mission sailed with Australian ships of Task Group (TG) 635.1 jointly in the South China Sea. There was a coordinated patrol and cross-service refueling and helicopter landing.


Canada
Since 2023, Canada has been performing freedom of navigation exercises in the South China Sea, sailing past Mischief, Subi Reef and Fiery Cross, and interacting with People's Liberation Army Navy vessels like cutter #5901, Type 053H3 frigate CNS Luoyang (527). There was mention of a 26-hour loop in the Spratlys, and staying at least 12 miles away from islands.

It seems that things have gotten more tense since 2006, and more so after 2018. More recently, over the past decade, NATO forces have increased activity in the South China Seas, including Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, and Germany taking part in naval exercises and freedom of navigation exercises. Source: USNI News.

The HMCS Montreal 
is a 4,700-ton anti-submarine frigate, one of a dozen in the Canadian Navy, with a crew of about 230 sailors and nearly two dozen airmen from the Royal Canadian Air Force. After completing the 26-hour loop, they were re-tasked with performing the same transit in reverse. 

  • Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of National Defence, Mme Marie-France Lalonde
  • The Honorable Bill Blair, Minister of National Defence
  • General Wayne Eyre, Chief of the Defence Staff
  • Vice-Admiral Angus Topshee, Commander of the Royal Canadian Navy
  • Commander Travis Bain, HMCS Montreal commanding officer (Royal Canadian Navy frigate)​
​​
Nepal
Prime Minister of Nepal, Pushpa Kamal Dahal
  • Chief of Nepali Army Staff, Gen. Prabhu Ram Sharma
  • Nepali Army Director of Peace Operations, Brig. Gen. Prem Bahadur Pun
​
India
​Prime Minister, Shri Narendra Modi
  • President of India, Droupadi Murmu
  • Defence Minister, Rajnath Singh 
  • Indian Navy Chief, Admiral R. Hari Kumar
​​
France
France is starting to join US-Philippine military naval exercises, opened a Defense Mission in Manila, signed military cooperation agreements with the Philippines, and resumed direct flights between Paris and Manilla. France is back and entering a strategic commitment and partnership with the Philippines.

Who said the French don't believe in nuclear power? The French 
have a nuclear powered submarine, the Rubis-class nuclear powered attack submarine SSN “E’meraude” and its offshore support and assistance vessel (BSAM) “Seine.” They are home-ported at Toulon Naval Base, and the French have been conducting exercises with allied navies including India, Australia, Japan, Indonesia and the United States.

The French have been transiting their islands in the Indo-Pacific, including French Polynesia, Wallis, Futuna and New Caledonia in the Pacific Ocean, and Mayotte and La Reunion in the Indian Ocean. The Indo-Pacific is home to nearly 2 million French people and 8,000 French soldiers.

The CSG Charles de Gaulle led a strike group that included three destroyers and an oil replenishment ship to a visit to the Philippines recently after performing freedom of navigation patrols in the South China Sea. 
  • Prime President Emmanuel Macron
  • French Defense Minister, French Minister for the Armed Forces: Sébastien Lecornu
  • Rear Admiral Jacques Mallard, commander of the French Aeromaritime Rapid Reaction Force (FRSTRIKEFOR) embarked on-board the FS Charles de Gaulle, is in at-sea command.
  • Admiral Pierre Vandier, French Navy
  • Captain Xavier Bagot, the commanding officer of French Destroyer Lorraine
  • ​Rear Admiral Geoffroy d’Andigné, Commander of the Armed Forces in French Polynesia, Commander of the Pacific Ocean and French Polynesian maritime zones, Commander of the Pacific Experimental Center and Commander of the French Polynesian Defense Base

France is taking the South China Sea very seriously. 
  • Rear Admiral d’Andigné, Commander of the Armed Forces in French Polynesia, Commander of the Pacific Ocean and French Polynesian maritime zones, Commander of the Pacific Experimental Center and Commander of the French Polynesian Defense Base, speaks during a press conference on board French Destroyer Lorraine Wednesday, June 28, 2023, at the South Harbour, Manila, Philippines.

“France is the only European Union country to conduct navigation in the Taiwan strait or South China Sea. But I shall make it very clear that our deployment will not be aggressive or provocative to anyone,”

“As stabilizing power, France does not in any way take part in territorial disputes and supports anytime dialogues,”

Singapore:
  • James Char, a research fellow specialising in China's defence at the S Rajaratnam School of International Studies at Singapore's Nanyang Technological University
  • Collin Koh, a security fellow at Singapore's S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies.
  • Ian Storey, a senior fellow at Singapore’s ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute.
North Korea
  • ​North Korean leader, Kim Jong Un​
  • General Jang Chang Ha, General Director of the DPRK Missile Administration
  • North Korea Navy Chief, Adm. Kim Myong Sik
  • East Sea Fleet Commander, Vice Adm. Pak Kwang Sop
  • West Sea Fleet Commander, Vice Adm. Pang Song Hwan
​​
Italy
Italy has started patrolling with the United States in the Philippine Sea. Rear Admiral Giancarlo Ciappina, commander of the Italian Carrier Strike Group, Cavour CSG, ITS Cavour (CVH-550). Source: OSNI News.
​
Kenya
  • President William Ruto joined the Belt and Road program, and is not in the South China Sea
  • ​
South Korea

President Yoon Suk-yeol 
Kang Do-hyung, the Minister of Oceans and Fisheries
Sang Hun Seok, South Korean Diplomat (former)
Lee Dong-gyu, a research fellow at the Asan Institute for Policy Studies
Kang Young-shin, director-general for Northeast and Central Asian affairs at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and South Korea’s lead representative in maritime talks with China.
Luke De Pulford, the Executive Director of the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China,
Na Kyung-won, a member of parliament from South Korea’s ruling People Power Party.
Jaewoo Choo, head of the China Research Center at the Korea Research Institute for National Security think-tank in Seoul,
​Nam Sung-wook, a professor at the Graduate School of Public Administration at Korea University

​​
  • South Korea's SK Earthon has started crude oil production in 2023 from an offshore platform.
  • SK Earthon is full exploring the subsea floor to identify locations to store CO2. Source article here.
  • "The overarching goal of this national initiative is to meticulously explore the East, West, and South Seas surrounding the Korean Peninsula to assess the CO2 storage capacity of these regions. Furthermore, it seeks to enhance the data gathered from past oil field explorations and conduct additional exploration of areas that lack data, aiming to identify promising CO2 storage sites. SK Earthon also aims to establish a standardized criteria for selecting CO2 storage sites."
Russia
In 2022, Russia and China declared a "no limits" partnership.

Russia has had a Pacific Fleet port visit in a few countries in late 2024 (October through December 2024) including Malaysia, Myanmar, Indonesia, Thailand, and China. 


On December 8, 2024, the Russian Kilo-class submarine, the UFA490, was riding on the surface, communicating in a friendly way with the Philippine Navy, and was escorted through the Philippine EEZ by the guided-missile frigate, the BRP Jose Rizal (FF-150). 

In 2025, we add Russia to the South China Seas participant list. The Russian Navy is operating in joint naval exercises and patrols with the PLAN, including Joint Sea 2024 and others. The russian submarines, including the Diesel-powered UFA Kilo II missile submarine partciipate in independent and joint exercises.

Russia has also been conducting joint exercises with Indonesia (confirm this).
In February 2025, the Russian navy dispatched two corvettes, the Rezky and the Hero of the Russian Federation Aldar Tsydenzhapov, as well as the fleet oiler Pechenga, from their Far Eastern naval base in the city of Vladivostok for air defense exercises. In Mid-February, these ships participated in the Bali, Indonesia multilateral naval exercise codenamed Komodo-2025.  The Russian Pacific Fleet also conducted bilateral maritime exercises with Indonesia in November 2024. These Russian vessels then participated Belt-2025 at the Iranian port of Chabahar (March 10-11, 2025) along with the navies of China and Iran. Finally, they reached Karachi, Pakistan on March 15, 2025 for some bilateral drills with Pakistan's Navy named Arabian Monsoon-VI. This was a busy group, and they next went to Chennai, India and took part in the Indra Navy-2025 joint exercises. They then went to Bangladesh.

In 2025, Russia has been sailing near Japan and entering the Philippine Sea in joint patrols with the Chinese PLAN.

Historically, Russia's navy had very good relations with Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte (2017 - 2019), signed naval cooperating agreements, and saw Russian warships in Philippine ports.

Finally, Russia has been more assertive with Japan, flying surveillance aircraft around Japanese Islands in 2024 and 2025, often in joint operations with China.
​
The European Union
  • EU Foreign Policy Chief Kaja Kallas 

United States of America
  • POTUS: President Joe Biden
  • U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken
  • U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan
  • Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin (met with PRC counterpart in May 2024)
  • Greg Poling, Director of the Southeast Asia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies
  • Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, U.S. Air Force General Charles Q. Brown, 
  • Assistant Secretary of Defense for Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Ely Ratner
  • Matthew Miller, U.S. Department of State Department Spokesperson.
  • General Charles Flynn, the commanding general of US Army Pacific
  • Commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, Admiral John Aquilino. 
  • Head of the Indo-Pacific Command, Adm. Samuel Paparo (former)
  • Andrew Erickson, professor of strategy at the U.S. Naval War College's China Maritime Studies Institute
  • Bryan Clark, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute
  • U.S. Ambassador MaryKay Carlson (ambassador to the Philippines) (2025)
  • ​Ray Powell, director of the SeaLight Project at Stanford University’s Gordian Knot Center for National Security Innovation
  • Rear Admiral Adan Cruz, commander, Carrier Strike Group (CSG) 3
  • U.S. Marine Lt. Gen. Michael Cederholm (NMESIS)
  • U.S. Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Jay M. Bargeron, Commander, 3d Marine Division (2023)
  • U.S. Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Benjamin T. Watson, Commander, 1st Marine Division (2023)
  • Commander of US Pacific Air Forces Kevin Schneider ​
​​
​The U.S. Department of Defense in November, 2022 issued a proceedings document titled "Prevailing without Gunsmoke in the South China Sea" that directed the U.S. Navy to develop non-lethal measures to counter 'gray zone' threats, such as those posed by Chinese maritime militia.

NATO, specifically the USA and Germany, have been making significant investents into Unmanned Surface Vessels (USVs) and Unmanned Underwater Vessels (UUVs). The Ukrainians have evolved marine drone warfare when they put anti-aircraft missiles on their USVs which successfully shot down at least two SU-30s.


Opinion: The USA needs to reopen Adak Island and upgrade Eareckson Air Station on Shemya.
Source here. Admiral Samuel Paparo, former commander of US Indo-Pacific Command, told the Senate Armed Services Committee on April 10 that he supports reopening the shuttered naval facility on Adak Island and upgrading Eareckson Air Station on Shemya, the westernmost outpost of the chain.

Facilities on Adak and Shemya would give the United States “time and distance on any force capability that is looking to penetrate” American waters or airspace, Paparo said. Reactivating Adak would allow the United States to increase maritime patrol and reconnaissance aircraft (MPRA) coverage in the region by a factor of 10, he told lawmakers.
At its peak, the island was home to 6,000 military personnel and their families. The base was officially closed in 1997. Today, fewer than 200 people live on the island. Alaska Airlines operates a single commercial route to Adak using Boeing 737s.
​
United States of America Treaty Obligations & Strategic Allied Overview:

The United States has two treaty allies in the region—the Philippines and Thailand—and robust security partnerships with Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, and Vietnam. Source

1951 U.S.-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty
“We also reaffirm that an armed attack on Philippine armed forces, public vessels, or aircraft in the South China Sea would invoke U.S. mutual defense commitments” under the 1951 U.S.-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty, Blinken said.

The US and Japan are also mutual defense treaty allies. Japan imports 90% of its energy needs (think petroleum products) through sea channels around Taiwan and the South China Sea, which makes them a strategic stakeholder (no citation provided to us). Japan has islands called the Senkakus, also called Diaoyus by China, in the area.


Al Jazeera: “Following that incident, US President Joe Biden renewed a warning that the US would be obligated to defend the Philippines, its oldest treaty ally in Asia, if Filipino forces, aircraft or vessels come under armed attack.”

The US and Taiwan are also defense treaty allies, under the Taiwan Relations Act, which requires the US to use military weaponry and personnel to defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion.


We read recently in CNN (Brad Lendon, CNN, updated April 8, 2024) that current military thinking is that China would have to neutralize military capabilities in both Japan and the Philippines to take and hold Taiwan by force. This was attributed to Micah Jeiel Perez, an assistant professor at the University of the Philippines Diliman.

April 9, 2024: South China Sea naval drills and patrols in early April, 2024 by the United states, Australia, the Philippines and Japan, source: Reuters.

AUKUS Security Pact was announced in 2021 by the United States, Australia and the United Kingdom. "Shoulder to Shoulder"

Australia was approved to purchase Virginia-class (nuclear-powered and non-strategic) submarines from the U.S., and would be building its own nuclear-powered submarines based on U.K. and U.S. technologies.

Included in the 2024 US Defense Budget:
Pillar 1 (the submarine sale) and Pillar 2 (the licensing exemption) approved (details to be confirmed).
Funding for the “Indo-Pacific Maritime Domain Awareness Initiative.”

​AUKUS Source: RFA here.

The Indo-Pacific Maritime Domain Awareness, or IPMDA, is a joint initiative in the Pacific Ocean launched in 2022. There are open source references to this initiative across the major allied sea-powers.

April 2, 2024 (Reuters): The US and Japan are exploring Japanese involvement in Pillar II of the project.​

August 23, 2024: The US has sent the USS Hawaii (SSN 776) has arrived at HMAS Stirling in Western Australia for nuclear-powered submarine maintenance, the first time Australia has participated in a Submarine Tendered Maointeneance Period (STMP) as part of AUKUS. Source: Naval News Here.

Australia has opened a production line for Naval Strike Missile (NSM) and Joint Strike Missile (JSM) in partnership with Kongsberg (this will be the second production facility in the world). Naval News here.


Arbitration Finding in 2016:
In 2016, the Permanent Court of Arbitration ruled on China's South China Seas claims in a proceeding brought by the Philippines. Source. We are reviewing the 501 page award and the 159 page Award on Jurisdiction and Admissibility issued by the PCA, along with their Press Release. Those contain a wealth of information which we will use to better understand the situation in the South China Sea.

Our summary is that both parties, both China and the Philippines, are required to follow the "Convention" also known as 1982 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (the “Convention” or “UNCLOS”), which has been ratified by both parties. The specific findings in the Awards are broad and were contested by China at the time of award.
2023 Military Deployments:

A 2023 "Allied" task force in the South China Sea contained ships and personnel from the following nations: Canada, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Republic of Korea, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Canadian deployment from August to December, 2023 contained Halifax-class frigates HCMS Vancouver (FFH331) and HMCS Ottawa (FFH341), including CH-148 Cyclone helicopters, along with replenishment, medical and helicopter support ship the MV Asterix from Canadian Forces Base (CFB) Esquimalt, British Columbia. According to open source intelligence, their deployment included a Royal Canadian Air Force CP-140 Aurora Long Range Patrol Aircraft.

​
An October - December 2023 Russian Navy Pacific Fleet deployment contained the destroyers RFS Admiral Panteleyev (548) and RFS Admiral Tributs (564) and fleet oiler Pechenga from Vladivostok.

Multilateral peace collaborations now exist among 'allied' nations for the assurance of freedom of the seas and navigation. These are 2x2, 3x3 or 4x4 dialogue mechanisms (Eurasiareview article)
  • U.S., Japan and the Philippines
  • France and the Philippines
  • U.S., Japan, Australia and the Philippines
  • Japan and India
  • India and Australia
  • India and South Korea
  • Japan, Australia and Vietnam
  • Japan and the Philippines (ongoing talks)
  • US has been motivating NATO members U.K., France and Germany to establish 2x2 dialogues around defense of the South China Sea.
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has members engaged in the South China seas, including Indonesia, Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines and Vietnam.  Indonesia was the chair in 2023, and Laos is the chair in 2024.

There are 10 member states of ASEAN, as quoted from their website with dates of entry:
"The Association of Southeast Asian Nations, or ASEAN, was established on 8 August 1967 in Bangkok, Thailand, with the signing of the ASEAN Declaration (Bangkok Declaration) by the Founding Fathers of ASEAN: Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. Brunei Darussalam joined ASEAN on 7 January 1984, followed by Viet Nam on 28 July 1995, Lao PDR and Myanmar on 23 July 1997, and Cambodia on 30 April 1999, making up what is today the ten Member States of ASEAN."

The following is a quote from a statement made on December 30, 2023 (source RFA): 
  • Members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, or ASEAN, have issued the unprecedented stand-alone statement on the South China Sea, vowing a “peaceful resolution of disputes” in the area. 
  • “We closely follow with concern the recent developments in the South China Sea that may undermine peace, security, and stability in the region,” said the foreign ministers of the union, cited by a statement on Dec. 30, 2023.
  • “We recall and reaffirm our shared commitment to maintaining and promoting peace, security, and stability in the region, as well as to the peaceful resolution of disputes, including full respect for legal and diplomatic processes, without resorting to the threat or use of force.”
Sources: Many open source news articles on the South China Sea

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