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​More details on Common Stock Beta

BETA = 1.0
A stock with a BETA of 1.0 means the covariance of the stock with the index equals the variance of the index, or that their historic variability matches.  It matches in both direction and size. The historical variability of a stock is the same as the historical variability of the stock market, as measured by the index chosen.  Looking to tomorrow, if the SPY advances 0.50%, then the stock is likely to also advance 0.5%, when measured over enough days.

BETA > 1.0 or high beta
A stock with a BETA greater than 1.0 implies the stock has greater momentum or systematic risk than the stock market.  These stocks are more economically sensitive than the overall market.  A stock with a high BETA, which we define as a BETA > 2.8, has significantly more momentum and volatility than the overall market. High BETA stocks are like leverage in your investment portfolio. They move aggressively. We track an index of stocks with BETA >/= 2.80 over the past year and they are very risky. Their range of daily price moves are consistently impressive.

BETA < 1.0 or low beta
A stock with a BETA less than 1.0 has less momentum or systematic risk than the stock market. It is less risky to hold in a portfolio and tends to dampen risk. These are often defensive stocks like regulated utilities or food companies. They are less economically sensitive than the overall market. 

BETA = 0 or independent
A stock with a BETA of zero moves independently, or without a consistent relationship, to the underlying index.  For example, TVC, which is a stock ticker that buys you a 25 dollar bond issued by the Tennessee Valley Authority, likely has a BETA near zero.  Another is an ETF of a short-term bond fund, SHY. Another is a physical gold ETF, AAAU. These tickers move with interest rates, the health of the issuers, or demand for a non-economic commodity.
​
BETA < 0 or Negative BETA
A stock with negative BETA show two different behaviors. They show higher variance when the market is calm (or vice versa). They also move in the opposite direction of the stock market. The covariance of the stock to the market is negative.

You can see some synthetic investments (ETFs) with negative BETA in the list above. These ETFs move consistently, but not always, in the opposite direction of the stock market, or SPY. A stock with a negative BETA typically, but not always, falls when the market rises, and vice versa. One example is a set of ETFs that track the VIX, VIXY and UVXY, and others are ETFs that are short the market, or TZA and SQQQ. They have a negative BETA by design.

Common stocks with negative BETA stocks are rare. Out of 3,440 common stocks that traded on July 11, 2022 and passed data validation, we found 5 negative BETA stocks. Almost all stocks move with the market, hence the expression "a rising tide lifts all boats." Some weeks we have seen only one or two stocks with negative BETA.


Negative BETA may be caused by anomalous trading activity (e.g., MEME stocks or short squeezes), significant business performance against a business cycle (e.g., company loses money during an economic recovery), a counter-cyclical stock that moves against the market (e.g., discount retailers), or a defensive stock (e.g., insurance or foods) that has suffered poor performance.
This was our original video about negative beta stocks titled: What are Negative BETA Stocks? 2022 Negative BETA stocks. How to hedge the stock market
Why are negative BETA stocks rare?

Why is it unlikely? Because the same factors that lift up a company's future profits also lift the profits of most companies in the stock market. Hence the phrase, "a rising tide lifts all boats."  Earlier this year, we saw MEME trade erratically and somewhat randomly, which could give them a negative BETA. Over the pandemic period, very unsuccessful companies would decline despite market advances, also giving them a negative BETA. 


Negative BETA stocks moved in the opposite direction of the index. A stock with a negative BETA fell when the index rose, and rose when the index fell.  It is rare to see a negative BETA stock.  Out of 3,440 stocks that traded on July 11, 2022 and passed data validation, we found 5 negative BETA stocks. Almost all stocks move with the market, hence the expression "a rising tide lifts all boats." 

Negative BETA stocks are an anomaly. Negative BETA may be caused by anomalous trading activity (e.g., MEME stocks), significant business performance against a business cycle (e.g., company loses money during an economic recovery), or a counter-cyclical stock that moves against the market (e.g., discount retailers). It may be caused by a stock in a long-term price decline, or one which fell aggressively (e.g., a biotech firm that failed a drug trial).

There are non-stock tickers that have significant negative BETA.  We call this synthetic BETA because a money manager creates an investment that 'should' move against the market, or against an index, as long as markets, liquidity and price discovery are functioning properly. Example are shown below.

In the past we saw commodities and currencies consistently move against US equities (e.g., US Dollar & Gold).

​It is not always easy to find the right index to calculate BETA.  You need clean and complete data (every day).  We faced this issue the first time we analyzed the Turkish stock market for a potential Turkish client.  We had to use a US-listed iShares ETF (TUR) and lost almost half our tickers during data validation to negative BETA. 

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Disclaimer: 
All investing, stock forecasts, and investment strategies include the risk of loss for some or even all of your capital.  Please do your due diligence and research before investing.  Statements made on our website or in social media are not investment advice.  They do not take into account your unique circumstances, risk tolerance or investing objectives.  Please consider our website and social media outlets as for informational purposes only.

The stocks mentioned may not be suitable for all investors.  As with any investment there is risk.  Past performance is not an indication of future results.  Please do your own due diligence on any stock portfolios highlighted.  Finally, we make no guarantees for your financial results.  You bear all the risk, and gain all the rewards of your investments.

Unauthorized reproduction or redistribution of this information or the analysis provided in any form is strictly prohibited.


  • Home
    • About Us
    • Contact
    • Our Brochure
    • Positions
    • T-shirts
    • Nextsteps
  • Advisory Services
    • Stock Portfolio Services
    • US Composite: Up Run
    • US Composite: Down Run
    • Your Stocks: Up Run
    • Your Stocks: Down Run
    • Investment Planning
    • Membership
  • Project Services
  • Market Information
    • Retail Investor
    • Why Use ETFs
    • Negative BETA Stocks
    • Top Dividend Stocks
    • Stock Price Variance
    • Leptokurtic Stocks
    • Platykurtic Stocks
    • High & Low BETA Stocks
    • Skewness in Daily Returns
    • High & Low Volume Stocks
    • Top Stock Movers
    • Price & Volume Spikes
    • Stock Splits
    • Common Stock Beta Detail
    • More Details on Kurtotic Stocks
    • US Banking Observations
    • Liquidity Research
    • MEME Stocks
    • Corporate Finance 101
  • Managed Accounts
    • Managed Account BLOG
    • Managed Account Fees
    • Considerations
  • Quantum Computing
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    • Use Case Detail
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    • Platforms Detail
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    • PQC Post Quantum Cryptography
  • Insights of Today
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  • New BLOG 2023